From the moment Saad al-Hariri's
plane touched down in Saudi Arabia on
Friday November 3, he was in for a
surprise.
There was no line-up of Saudi princes
or ministry officials, as would typically
greet a prime minister on an official
visit to King Salman, senior sources
close to Hariri and top Lebanese
political and security officials said. His
phone was confiscated, and the next
day he was forced to resign as prime
minister in a statement broadcast by a
Saudi-owned TV channel.
The move thrust Lebanon back to the
forefront of a struggle that is reshaping
the Middle East, between the Sunni
monarchy of Saudi Arabia and Shia
Iran.
Their rivalry has fuelled conflicts in
Iraq, Syria and Yemen, where they back
opposing sides, and now risks
destabilising Lebanon, where Saudi has
long tried to weaken the Iran-backed
Hezbollah group, Lebanon's main
political power and part of the ruling
coalition.
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Sources close to Hariri say Saudi Arabia
has concluded that the prime minister -
a long-time Saudi ally and son of late
prime minister Rafiq al-Hariri, who was
assassinated in 2005 - had to go because
he was unwilling to confront Hezbollah.
Multiple
Lebanese
sources say
Riyadh hopes
to replace Saad
Hariri with his
older brother
Bahaa as
Lebanon's top
Sunni
politician.
Bahaa is believed to be in Saudi Arabia
and members of the Hariri family have
been asked to travel there to pledge
allegiance to him, but have refused, the
sources say.
"When Hariri's plane landed in Riyadh,
he got the message immediately that
something was wrong," a Hariri source
told Reuters news agency. "There was
no one was waiting for him."
Saudi Arabia has dismissed suggestions
it forced Hariri to resign and says he is
a free man. Saudi officials could not
immediately be reached for comment
on the circumstances of his arrival,
whether his phone had been taken, or
whether the kingdom was planning to
replace him with his brother.
Hariri has given no public remarks
since he resigned and no indication of
when he might return to Lebanon.
'No respect'
Hariri was summoned to the kingdom
to meet King Salman in a phone call on
Thursday night, November 2.
Before departing, he told his officials
they would resume their discussions on
Monday. He told his media team he
would see them at the weekend in the
Red Sea resort of Sharm al-Sheikh,
where he was due to meet Egyptian
President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi on the
sidelines of the World Youth Forum.
Hariri went to his Riyadh home. His
family made their fortune in Saudi
Arabia and have long had properties
there. The source close to Hariri said
the Lebanese leader received a call
from a Saudi protocol official on
Saturday morning, who asked him to
attend a meeting with Crown Prince
Mohammed bin Salman.
He waited for about four hours before
being presented with his resignation
speech to read on television, the source
said.
"From the moment he arrived they
(Saudis) showed no respect for the
man," another senior Lebanese political
source said.
Hariri frequently visits Saudi Arabia. On
a trip a few days earlier, Prince
Mohammed bin Salman had arranged
for him to see senior intelligence
officials and Gulf Affairs Minister
Thamer al-Sabhan, the Saudi point man
on Lebanon.
Hariri came back
from that trip to
Beirut "pleased
and relaxed",
sources in his
entourage said.
He posted a
selfie with Sabhan, both of them
smiling. He told aides he had heard
"encouraging statements" from the
crown prince, including a promise to
revive a Saudi aid package for the
Lebanese army.
The Hariri sources say Hariri believed
he had convinced Saudi officials of the
need to maintain an entente with
Hezbollah for the sake of Lebanon's
stability.
Hezbollah has a heavily armed fighting
force, in addition to seats in parliament
and government. Saudi-backed efforts
to weaken the group in Lebanon a
decade ago led to Sunni-Shia clashes
and a Hezbollah takeover of Beirut.
"What happened in those meetings, I
believe, is that (Hariri) revealed his
position on how to deal with Hezbollah
in Lebanon: that confrontation would
destabilise the country. I think they
didn't like what they heard," said one
of the sources, who was briefed on the
meetings.
The source said Hariri told Sabhan not
to "hold us responsible for something
that is beyond my control or that of
Lebanon". But Hariri underestimated
the Saudi position on Hezbollah, the
source said.
"For the Saudis it is an existential
battle. It's black and white. We in
Lebanon are used to gray," the source
said.
Sabhan could not immediately be
reached for comment.
Resignation
Hariri's resignation speech shocked his
team.
Lebanese President Michel Aoun, a
Hezbollah ally, told ambassadors to
Lebanon that Saudi Arabia had
kidnapped Hariri, a senior Lebanese
official said. On Friday, France said it
wanted Hariri to have "all his freedom
of movement".
In his speech, Hariri said he feared
assassination and accused Iran and
Hezbollah of sowing strife in the region.
He said the Arab world would "cut off
the hands that wickedly extend to it,"
language which one source close to him
said was not typical of the Lebanese
leader.
Hariri's resignation came as more than
200 people, including 11 Saudi princes,
current and former ministers and
tycoons, were arrested in an anti-
corruption purge in Saudi Arabia.
Initially there was speculation Hariri
was a target of that campaign because
of his family's business interests. But
sources close to the Lebanese leader
said his forced resignation was
motivated by Saudi efforts to counter
Iran.
Hariri was taken to meet the Saudi king
after his resignation. Footage was aired
on Saudi TV. He was then flown to Abu
Dhabi to meet Crown Prince
Mohammed bin Zayed, the Saudi crown
prince's main regional ally. He returned
to Riyadh and has since received
Western ambassadors.
Sources close to
Hariri said the
Saudis, while
keeping Hariri
under house
arrest, were
trying to
orchestrate a change of leadership in
Hariri's Future Movement by installing
his elder brother Bahaa, who was
overlooked for the top job when their
father was killed. The two have been at
odds for years.
In a statement, the Future Movement
said it stood fully behind Hariri as its
leader. Hariri aide and Interior Minister
Nohad Machnouk dismissed the idea
Bahaa was being positioned to replace
his brother: "We are not herds of sheep
or a plot of land whose ownership can
be moved from one person to another.
In Lebanon things happen though
elections not pledges of allegiances."
Family members, aides and politicians
who have contacted Hariri in Riyadh
say he is apprehensive and reluctant to
say anything beyond "I am fine". Asked
if he is coming back, they say his
normal answer is: "Inshallah" (God
willing).
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