What is next for Yemen's
Houthis?
NEWS / YEMEN
What is next for Yemen
Houthis: Saleh was
'conspiring' with Saudi-
led coalition
Houthis Yemen Middle East
Politics
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The death of Yemen's former President
Ali Abdullah Saleh in the capital at the
hands of the rebel Shia-backed Houthi
group, his former allies-turned-
adversaries, has plunged the war-torn
country into further disarray, analysts
said.
The Houthis, who protested against
Saleh during the country's 2011
uprisings, formed a shaky alliance with
the long-time leader and his General
People's Congress party (GPC) against
the government of the internationally
recognised President Abd-Rabbu
Mansour Hadi in 2014.
This unusual cooperation, termed as a
"partnership of convenience" broke last
week as Houthi fighters and Saleh
loyalists clashed. Two days before he
was killed, Saleh publicly stated his
willingness to engage in talks with
Saudi Arabia, who has been leading a
military coalition against the Houthis
since March 2015.
Jane Kinninmont, a senior research
fellow for the MENA programme at
Chatham House, said that Saleh had
underestimated how powerful the
Houthis had become.
"He didn't have that much support at
the end – not only because he was
killed but because the Houthis were
also able to overrun the houses of
several of his relatives in the capital,"
she said.
Sole game players
With Saleh out of the picture, the
Houthis are "feeling favoured as the
sole game player" in Sanaa, said
Osamah al-Rawhani from the think tank
Sanaa Center.
"The question is who they will make a
partnership with,
The Houthis don't have any other
political powers they can start an
alliance with except for the tribes, he
continued, who have always had
shifting positions depending on where
their interests lie.
"During the past three years the Houthis
have built their own alliances," he said.
"Some tribesmen have rebelled against
their own people and allied with the
Houthis. Others, such as Sheikh al-
Mashriqi, who is from [Saleh's] Hashid
tribe, surrendered to them."
Kinninmont said
that a new
alliance between
the Houthis and
Saleh loyalists is
"absolutely
possible" but at
the same time, one of the biggest
uncertainties.
"Things are changing very fast," she
said.
The way that Saleh's body was filmed
and paraded around by the Houthis has
left a lot of his former supporters "in a
bit of a quandary" she added, "because
there will be fear and humiliation that
this is what will happen to them if they
think about betraying the Houthis".
The 'challenge' of governance
While there is not an exact figure
regarding the number of Houthi
fighters, their strength has been
increasing over the past three years to
grow into the only force to reckon with
in Sanaa.
However, their popularity in the capital
is not uniform, as many people do not
want them in power.
"Houthis are now going to rule Sanaa
using fear," Rawhani said. "They are
going to use that fear with the tribes."
Despite their territorial advantage, the
Houthis lack the ability to govern,
which is why they maintained their
fragile alliance with Saleh and his party,
experts noted.
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